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There was a low-key mood in the US session today, consolidating recent turns in risk sentiment in a minor correction across the FX space.
The Trump trade came into jeopardy at the start of this month again while investors also prefer to stay on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC minutes tomorrow, US President Trump meeting with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping on Thursday. The main event will come in the nonfarm payrolls at the end of the week.
The US dollar and US 10y yields recovered to some degree with the DXY above the 100 handle still and up 0.02% while yields were +1.62% to 2.3569 at the time of writing. The euro was subdued again trading in a narrow 40 pip range around the midpoint of the 1.06 handle. The yen was giving some ground back to the US dollar from 110.26 lows to 110.95 the high. Sterling was choppy, consolidating the sharp fall from 1.2550 overnight down to lows of 1.2418. AUD recovered just 25 pips from the post-RBA and trade balance lows and remained below the 0.76 handle while the Kiwi consolidated within a sideways drift along 0.6970 support.
Analysts at Westpac offered a review of today's data:
Day ahead: Asia preview: China on holiday, eyes on AUD and NZD
Analysts at Westpac offered a review of today's risk events:
Key notes from US session